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J. Olsder Dynamic Noncooperative Game Theory New York: Academic Press 1982 p.123.f$Heath B. Chamberlain, On the Search for Civil Society in China. Modern China, vol.19,no.2(April 1993),pp.199 215.g$R. S. Schfield, The Impact of Scarcity and Plenty on Population Change in England. In R. I. Rotberg and T.K. Rabb(eds.), Hunger and History: The Impact of Changing Food Production and Consumption Pattern on Society. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1983, p.79.h$誰 焋 0 ASN擭膲R 鷁畫 慂QASN'Y甆筽 0 http://finance.people.com.cn/GB/1045/3774999.htmli$ _荝 0NLu蟸Nm粂N_-N齎耂N 0 http://www.people.com.cn/GB/paper39/15940/1409094.html,{mQ倐 耂€噀.s剉h埦徆e_耂€噀.s(W噀+g錘耂€噀.sh垊vb__R:y0ZS隭f[MO簨噀耂€噀.s噀N\嶯80*N Ux隭f[MO簨噀耂€噀.s噀N\嶯50*N vQ-NY噀噀.s`SASRKNNNNf[MO簨噀剉Y噀耂€噀.spe蠎颯9hnc臽礠 g@b螿\0(WR>N耂€噀.s鰁 u惇_錘 N_N 噀.s剉\O€N厤菑3MO鰁 hQ钀R鶴厤菑3MO鰁 闟RMR3MO Tb棤R I{ W[b鴙擽剉Y噀0孨 耂€噀.s菓(u廭鱏[1]0[2]& h鑜0 N 耂€噀.s鄀簨/fW刓O{| 貜/f簨噀{| vQz槒^GW:NHQ-N噀 TY噀0vQ-N -N噀噀.s錘\O€覻l黚髼z槒^抍廭駛噀{|Y噀W刓O錘\O€W[蚹z槒^抍R vQ諲{|耂gq錘 N颼婳0踁 -NY噀耂€噀.swQSO耂gq錘 Nh鑜筫_孴:y婳1-N噀噀.s剉h鑜筫_-N噀噀.sR+R:N\O€0W刓Ob簨噀T饄0褘€ 0鶴Hr>yb RirT饄 鶴Hrb裇h垊v鰁魰0:y婳[1] 儑e渙: 0簨-N齎\鷁>yOg鯺韣剉烻郪 0  0儑e渙哠騍簨噀 惼 0 -N齎>yO褃f[鶴Hr>y 1979t^0[2] T許Xn01g穇檘: 0韹誰頞瀼矉輯 0 -N齎R梩^鶴Hr>y 1979t^0[3] 褢Ny咜 0^棞QN菑 z-N剉淨Qg嘫sY 0  0>yOf[xvz 01998t^,{5g02Y噀噀.s剉h鑜筫_#嶜N€\O€ 覻l(WMR TW[(WT恎鶴噀.s槝T(uckSO 鶴HrirT饄(u渆SO噀.s瘇鹼駛噀 錝+g(u駛噀錝筽 俌-N駛噀鱩(u 錝+g(u-N噀錝鱏0:y婳[4] Polo M. The Travels of Marco Polo. Translated by William Marsden Hertfordshire: Cunberland House 1997.[5] Daily G. Ehrlich P. Polulation Extinction and the Biodiversity Crisis In Perrings C. et al (eds.) Biodiversity Conservation. Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic Publishers 1995.[6] Basar T. G. J. 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